Step Change – Politics, Not Policy

February 17th 2010 at 4:46pm, By Dave Guerin

After my initial excitement yesterday that school choice was being discussed again, I’ve now had time to read the Report of the Inter-Party Working Group for School Choice. Others have already had a go at the issue from the predictable vouchers good/bad positions, so I will look at it from a practical policy/politics perspective  (I am from the “vouchers good” disposition, but I always try to engage with the facts/context as well as my ideology). Basically the report is a political, not a policy, document and should be judged in that way.

  • The report had some tough goals to meet such as reviewing funding, enrolment schemes, trust school models, property and so on  (p.4). It doesn’t do it (no-one could in 12 pages of body text) but there’s no clear attempt to make the report fit the goals.
  • This paper has been written (or at least edited) by 6 MPs and it shows. I support their basic premise but I’m certainly not convinced that this paper should become policy as it stands. It reads much as you’d expect a partisan group of people to write a policy proposal. That’s the main point though -you can’t really judge it in the same way that you would judge a paper by a research centre, a journal article or a Cabinet paper. Certainly, this paper has lots of references, but it is more a political statement than a policy paper. We should judge it by whether it gets a political reaction (seems to be doing well so far) and then whether it sparks a serious policy process (see below).
  • As an example of the response, Russell Brown has made some strong criticisms of the paper, and he’s gone out of his way to Google things that undermine the paper. He attacked references to Sweden in the paper, and provided some good alternative views, so I had naturally assumed that Sweden was important to the main paper. There are, however, 2 paras about Sweden in a fairly light case study section that has little reference to the proposals that follow. I have no concerns about Russell having a partisan go at the paper (he’s not a neutral civil servant) but I wonder if he’s gone over the top in his response. He’s attacking a political document for not being an example of “evidence-based policy development”, which seems like a losing battle in life to me. Why bother holding it up to ridicule for something its not (a balanced policy paper), when you might just be giving the issue the oxygen that its promoters wanted?
  • While the paper and the initial responses to the paper offer fairly predictable stances in the school choice debate (see Scoop Education for input from Maxim, Education Forum, QPEC, PPTA and NZEI), I’m more interested right now in the political and policy aspects. So, what might come out of this paper?
    • The joint writing and launch by ACT, National and Maori MPs was very telling. ACT is expected to support school choice publicly, but we shouldn’t underestimate support amongst Maori for diverse service delivery models, which fits very well with National’s core preferences for devolution, subsidiarity and (yes) privatisation. The paper draws on some of the same underlying concepts as the Whanau Ora policy that National and the Maori Party are working so hard on.
    • The targeting of both gifted and at-risk students is probably quite good politics, and I’d expect to see more of that. The gifted and talented education national body has a very low profile in education policy and it would probably be quite cheap to make a difference in that area and help bring more parents with you than just focusing on struggling students.
    • Performance funding sounds unduly complicated and might not be worth the hassle of implementing it in the education sector culture. It would probably be easier to just cut contracts after a period of non-performance and warnings.
    • Learning brokers also sound quite complicated and I can’t see them happening unless the policy can be described much more clearly. Some vox pops on the news last night showed parental interest in personalisation but also concerns about logistics – if there is strong demand for this, then the logistics need to be sorted.
    • Flexibility over property management for schools is quite likely under this government.
    • Overall, I see very little likelihood of the policy as proposed being implemented, but what we are seeing is some new thinking being exposed by National in particular. They have avoided discussions about choice in recent years to avoid spooking the horses, but now they’re willing to talk about it. That will make their core supporters happy and it will make Labour happy to create some differentiation. I think there will be a taskforce of some sort established to follow up the s, but it will have a much narrower brief. Alternatively, a few ideas from the report will be cherry-picked and pushed through normal policy processes.

Other comments on this issue are available at No Minister, Kiwiblog, and Red Alert (good post by Kelvin Davis).

8 Responses to Step Change – Politics, Not Policy

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Darel

February 17th, 2010 at 5:24 pm

What struck me was if it’s good enough for 25% of the population, why not 100%? I’m not convinced it’s a great idea but hey, if you do, go for the moon.

I caught John Hattie on this prior to 7pm on Morning Report. He was being very careful to be constructive which is good because people like him need to be involved. So the less his own words make him a political football, the better.

The main point I took from him is his belief that intra-school differences matter the most not inter-school differences. So if you want better education results you need to work on bringing the poorer teachers up to the level of the better teachers at every school, etc.

I like your third point about cutting contracts after a period of non-performance and warnings. But how many Ministers have the will to allow that to happen very much?

My experience of ITOs is that the TEC preferred gradual funding shifts from poorer performing ITOs, as they defined it, to better performing ITOs.

Maybe your experience PTEs gives you more confidence in Ministers not being tempted to save more organisations than they should.

I look at the grief Trevor Mallard got closing schools and I wonder. I don’t have a good memory of Nat Ministers in the 1990s and schools so don’t know if there were any brave ones on this.

I’m genuinely intrigued. So good politics.

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Paul Williams

February 17th, 2010 at 5:34 pm

My experience of ITOs is that the TEC preferred gradual funding shifts from poorer performing ITOs, as they defined it, to better performing ITOs.

That’s right however, in doing so officials very sensibly recognised that learner achievement wasn’t itself the best measure of the performance of the ITO. An industry with little history of structured workplace learning or an industry staffed by people with comparatively low levels of skill will never achieve the same qualification completions as, say, the trades.

This report doesn’t even begin to examine these kinds of second-order issues, it merely skims over international systems and quickly knocks up a set of arrangements.

I’ve noted at publicaddress that in a discussion with Deborah Coddington at Stephen Franks blog, she conceded that she didn’t know how vouchers would affect learning outcomes; without a clear answer on this, why would you bother?

I agree with David’s subtle criticism; perhaps this isn’t the best way to develop policy?

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Darel

February 17th, 2010 at 5:49 pm

Yeah I saw your comment Paul and I have some sympathy for Deborah’s position in that at least she was clear about why she preferred her approach and what it could achieve.

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Dave Guerin

February 17th, 2010 at 5:50 pm

Darel, your first point is probably a good example of central vs devolved thinking. Solutions don’t usually work for 100% of the population, and it you try to do so, those at the margins are most likely to want an alternative. So I think they’re right to think about target groups, rather than aim at the whole population. Many people are probably quite happy with current schooling options.

Cutting contracts is difficult, but I think it will be easier than having performance-based funding. But I’d expect to see some people paid to work on all the options before anything is implemented.

Paul, I’m not that concerned about the paper itself – it’s a political thinkpiece developed by 6 MPs from different parties outside the normal policy process. It was either going to be (a) brief and meaningless or (b) longer and have some disconnected ideas (obviously we got b). What happens next is what really interests me.

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Paul Williams

February 18th, 2010 at 12:48 am

Sorry Darel, Coddington was clear about what?

Her’s was a faith-based view, not fact-based. I’m not in the slightest bit interested in policy-by-divination, not for my kids, not even for yours.

Dave, I’d've thought that the proponents of voucher-based arrangements would hope for a better piece of work. It’ll run a headline or two but it’s not credible as you yourself note. Should the Minister ask for official advice on it’s merits (which you’d hope she would except how on earth do officials do that in these circumstances?) I don’t imagine it’ll be flattering.

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Darel

February 18th, 2010 at 9:51 am

Paul – Deborah was clear that she valued choice as a process over educational improvement as an outcome.

Dave – Why is my thinking central? If you believe this is a good idea then what’s the argument for government deciding to limit it to the margins rather than parents deciding that? If you’re right then the vast majority of the 75% in-between will do nothing. If you’re wrong and they want the choice, why shouldn’t they have it? And hell, if Deborah’s right then value resides in the choice process itself even if they do nothing which would be an argument, possibly a bit weak, for expanding the choice to all.

In my Masters I had a hypothesis about right wing people placing value on choice even if they didn’t get their preferred outcome. The context was VSM, CSM. It was a minor by-way in my work. Turns out I was wrong (No one valued choice without the outcome they wanted). In that very narrow context it didn’t have value. But I still think for the right issues Deborah has a point about choice having inherent value.

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Dave Guerin

February 18th, 2010 at 10:24 am

Sorry, Darel, my earlier point was probably a bit rude/abrupt.

Just because an idea might be a good one doesn’t mean you should apply it to everyone because (a) it probably won’t work for some people (b) you might want to test if it works with a smaller group and (c) a large number of people probably don’t want the option at all and will use universal coverage to attack it (choose an education union), thereby buying problems you don’t really need.

Additionally, choice tends to work best at the margins. Roger Kerr once gave me an example I really liked (and I’m sure I’ve told it to you before) that he didn’t choose his supermarket based on the price of breads, but he knew that others did, which kept the supermarkets on their toes because they didn’t want to lose the marginal customers, but also benefitted Roger in keeping his bills down. Similarly, choice in education is likely to be exercised by people at the margins but affect everyone (let’s leave aside the arguments about the impacts of that choice, but deal with the basic concept). So applying something to a small group will probably have impacts across the board anyway.

But anyway, I’m not arguing this post on what I personally believe in but the poltiics and policy issues around it. As I’ve already said, I don’t think the paper (and its percentages) hold up that well as a package, but the underlying ideas have power.

Paul, I think the Minister will ask a taskforce (if she appoints one) to look at some of the themes in the paper. I don’t think she’ll give the paper itself much formal status, thereby avoiding the need to conduct a formal review of it.

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Paul Williams

February 18th, 2010 at 11:40 am

Paul – Deborah was clear that she valued choice as a process over educational improvement as an outcome.

Darel, that’s correct but merely serves to reinforce my concern. Evidence-based policy might proceed from theory, but theory absent fact is a poor platform for policy making.

The issue of the centrality of choice is a recurring theme and what’s frustrated me in this discussion is the framing of the NZ system as somehow lacking choice. Leaving aside geographical zones for one moment (which is as much a logistical matter as it is an ideological one), in aggregate the NZ system provides significant choice and, equally imporantly, significant information. In this context, as opposed to the Swedish context, then, the threshold for further choice must be high and must require data showing choice will lead to better learner outcomes.

Deb Coddington and others proposing vouchers must be challenged to prove the merit of their specific argument.

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